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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Junior
1 - 1
LDU Quito

Bacca (12' pen.)
Mena (21'), Bacca (80'), Pena (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arce (45' pen.)
Estrada (21'), Julio (61'), Arce (90+5'), Arce (90')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Junior and LDU Quito.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Junior 1-1 Universitario
Wednesday, April 10 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: LDU Quito 1-0 Botafogo
Thursday, April 11 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 46.15%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 26.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawLDU Quito
46.15% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 27.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.24% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.57% (0.037999999999997 0.04)57.42% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.77% (0.030999999999999 0.03)78.23% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (0.018000000000001 0.02)24.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.54% (0.025999999999996 0.03)59.46% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87% (0.024000000000001 0.02)37.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.09% (0.025000000000002 0.03)73.91% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 46.14%
    LDU Quito 26.77%
    Draw 27.07%
Atletico JuniorDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.15%
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 46.14%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 26.77%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Junior 1-1 Universitario
Wednesday, April 10 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 1-3 Junior
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tolima 1-0 Junior
Friday, March 10 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Junior 0-4 Union
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Junior 2-0 Oriente
Wednesday, May 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Junior
Thursday, May 5 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 1-0 Botafogo
Thursday, April 11 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Universitario 2-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 3 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 LDU Quito
Friday, March 1 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Last Game: LDU Quito 1-0 Fluminense
Friday, February 23 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 LDU Quito (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, October 28 at 9pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 LDU Quito
Wednesday, October 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana


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