Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.