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Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Oct 4, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio de Pituacu

Bahia
1 - 2
Sport

Saldanha (77')
Gilberto (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hernane (40' pen.), Marcao (54')
Marquinhos (59'), Polli (84'), Marcao (89')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Sport Recife.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawSport Recife
42.03%27.99%29.98%
Both teams to score 46.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.79%59.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37%79.63%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2%27.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61%63.39%
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47%35.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.7%72.3%
Score Analysis
    Bahia 42.02%
    Sport Recife 29.98%
    Draw 27.99%
BahiaDrawSport Recife
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-1 @ 8.37%
2-0 @ 8.09%
3-1 @ 3.57%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.99%
0-1 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 29.98%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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