Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oriente Petrolero win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Royal Pari had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oriente Petrolero win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Royal Pari win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oriente Petrolero would win this match.
