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Copa Libertadores | First Round
Feb 25, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas

Royal Pari
1 - 4
Guarani

Castillo (72')
Torrico (44'), Saucedo (86'), da Silva (89')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Marin (3', 45'), Florentin (20'), Fernandez (75')
Bobadilla (23'), Fernandez (69'), Tegue (78'), Benitez (88'), Villalva (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Royal Pari and Club Guarani.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Guarani win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Royal Pari had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Guarani win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Royal Pari win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Guarani would win this match.

Result
Royal PariDrawClub Guarani
31.76%26.86%41.38%
Both teams to score 50.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.52%54.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.16%75.84%
Royal Pari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24%31.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.81%68.18%
Club Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05%25.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.05%60.95%
Score Analysis
    Royal Pari 31.76%
    Club Guarani 41.37%
    Draw 26.86%
Royal PariDrawClub Guarani
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 7.31%
2-0 @ 5.42%
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 2.07%
3-2 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.76%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 11.11%
1-2 @ 8.6%
0-2 @ 7.5%
1-3 @ 3.87%
0-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.37%

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