Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Pari win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Pari win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
