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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 27, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Tahuichi Aguilera
F

Oriente
1 - 10
Fluminense

Alvarez Vargas (15')
Suarez (10'), Saucedo Zeballos (35'), Guaycochea (48'), Mercado (61'), Salces (72')
Rojas (27')
FT(HT: 1-6)
Martins (1', 40', 54'), Cano (9', 13', 58'), Willian (75'), Arias (17'), Paulista (36'), Manoel (66')
Willian (23'), Claro (32'), Cristiano (49')
Nonato (27')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Oriente 1-10 Fluminense
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fluminense vs. Atletico GO
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Oriente Petrolero 1-3 Fluminense

While the hosts have little to play for, Fluminense know that they must win and hope that the other group match ends in a draw, and we think the visitors will collect the desired three points when they face an Oriente side that have lost every group game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%).

Result
Oriente PetroleroDrawFluminense
28.41% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 24.02% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 47.56% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.94% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (0.111 0.11)44.03% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (0.108 0.11)66.41% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)
Oriente Petrolero Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (0.094999999999999 0.09)28.78% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.38% (0.11799999999999 0.12)64.62% (-0.116 -0.12)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.030000000000001 0.03)18.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.02% (0.048000000000002 0.05)49.97% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Oriente Petrolero 28.41%
    Fluminense 47.56%
    Draw 24.02%
Oriente PetroleroDrawFluminense
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.69% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 28.41%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 47.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Junior 2-0 Oriente
Wednesday, May 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union 2-0 Oriente
Thursday, May 5 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Oriente 1-3 Junior
Friday, April 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Oriente 1-3 Union
Tuesday, April 12 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 3-0 Oriente
Wednesday, April 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Oriente 3-0 Royal Pari
Tuesday, March 15 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Fluminense
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Union 0-0 Fluminense
Thursday, May 19 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, May 15 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-1 Fluminense
Sunday, May 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Junior
Thursday, May 5 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Coritiba 3-2 Fluminense
Sunday, May 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro


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