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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 50.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
50.66% ( 0.19) | 25.95% ( 0.01) | 23.4% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 47.44% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.35% ( -0.22) | 55.65% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.19% ( -0.18) | 76.81% ( 0.18) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( -0.01) | 22.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.65% ( -0.01) | 55.35% ( 0.01) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.85% ( -0.31) | 39.16% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.13% ( -0.3) | 75.87% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 50.65% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.45% Total : 23.4% |
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