SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Racing Club |
40.95% ( -0.25) | 28.63% ( -0.27) | 30.42% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 44.98% ( 0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.74% ( 1.05) | 61.26% ( -1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.81% ( 0.78) | 81.19% ( -0.78) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.6% ( 0.38) | 29.39% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.62% ( 0.46) | 65.38% ( -0.46) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( 0.98) | 36.3% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% ( 0.98) | 73.08% ( -0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.52% Total : 40.94% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.61% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.92% Total : 30.42% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
