Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Espanola win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Antofagasta had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Espanola win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Antofagasta win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.