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ID
Copa Libertadores | Second Round
Mar 17, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Municipal Ruminahui

Independiente
6 - 2
Union Espanola

Jeampierre Vite Uca (3'), Montenegro (15', 39', 90+9'), Faravelli (30' pen., 57')
Ortiz (62'), Guerrero (90+5')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Felipe Mendez (56'), Rubio (61')
Platero (28'), Palacios (87'), Magnasco (90+5')
Magnasco (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Independiente del Valle and Union Espanola.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Union Espanola had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Union Espanola win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result
Independiente del ValleDrawUnion Espanola
63.34%19.58%17.07%
Both teams to score 57.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.03%36.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.84%59.16%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.89%11.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.47%35.53%
Union Espanola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1%34.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36%71.64%
Score Analysis
    Independiente del Valle 63.34%
    Union Espanola 17.07%
    Draw 19.58%
Independiente del ValleDrawUnion Espanola
2-1 @ 9.86%
2-0 @ 9.36%
1-0 @ 8.52%
3-1 @ 7.22%
3-0 @ 6.86%
4-1 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 3.8%
4-0 @ 3.77%
4-2 @ 2.09%
5-1 @ 1.74%
5-0 @ 1.65%
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 63.34%
1-1 @ 8.97%
2-2 @ 5.19%
0-0 @ 3.88%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.58%
1-2 @ 4.72%
0-1 @ 4.08%
0-2 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.82%
1-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 17.07%

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