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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 25, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Norberto Tomaghello

Defensa
0 - 2
Antofagasta

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hurtado (42'), Lopez (73')
Cordero (53'), Bryan Rodriguez Pedraza (59'), (74'), Hurtado (79'), Sanchez (82'), Flores (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Lanus vs. Defensa
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 0-2 Antofagasta
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Defensa y Justicia 3-1 Antofagasta

With little at stake here, both teams can afford to go all out with little restriction which should make for an exciting watch. That said, we are tipping Defensa to carry the day and give their home crowd cause for delight at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Antofagasta had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Antofagasta win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawAntofagasta
50.24% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 23.71% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.05% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 57.01% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.65% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)44.35% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.28% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)66.72% (0.012 0.01)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)17.73% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.6% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)48.39% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Antofagasta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)30.71% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)66.96% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 50.24%
    Antofagasta 26.05%
    Draw 23.7%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawAntofagasta
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 50.24%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 6.56%
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: LDU Quito 2-2 Defensa
Thursday, May 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-0 Defensa
Wednesday, May 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Patronato
Sunday, May 8 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Atletico GO 3-2 Defensa
Wednesday, May 4 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union 1-2 Defensa
Monday, May 2 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-2 LDU Quito
Thursday, April 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-0 Antofagasta
Wednesday, May 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Antofagasta 1-2 LDU Quito
Wednesday, May 4 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Antofagasta 2-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, April 28 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 4-0 Antofagasta
Wednesday, April 13 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Antofagasta 1-3 Defensa
Thursday, April 7 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Antofagasta 0-1 Union Espanola (4-1 pen.)
Thursday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana


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