Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Fe would win this match.
