Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
