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Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Dec 5, 2020 at 8.10pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona

Arsenal
1 - 0
Racing

Ruiz (42' pen.)
Candia (49'), Albertengo (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Orban (49'), Nahuel Banega (76')
Orban (86')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Racing Club.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawRacing Club
35.26%25.44%39.29%
Both teams to score 56.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18%47.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30%70%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75%26.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64%61.36%
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98%24.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71%58.29%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 35.26%
    Racing Club 39.3%
    Draw 25.44%
Arsenal SarandiDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 8.44%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 35.26%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.99%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-2 @ 6.41%
1-3 @ 4.08%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.73%
1-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.09%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.3%

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