Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.