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Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2020 at 10.20pm UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro

Tucuman
3 - 2
Arsenal

Alustiza (79' pen., 90+4'), Ortiz (90+2')
Erbes (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Albertengo (61'), Necul (89' pen.)
Castro (86'), Necul (89'), Soraire (90')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Atletico Tucuman and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawArsenal Sarandi
36.56%28.16%35.28%
Both teams to score 47.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.15%58.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.65%79.36%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19%30.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92%67.09%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37%31.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97%68.03%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 36.56%
    Arsenal Sarandi 35.27%
    Draw 28.15%
Atletico TucumanDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 11.47%
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 6.75%
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 36.56%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.75%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 11.21%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-2 @ 6.46%
1-3 @ 2.92%
0-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 35.27%


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