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Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2020 at 8.10pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona

Arsenal
2 - 3
Santa Fe

Candia (36'), Carabajal (80')
Pereyra (34'), Picco (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Manuel Garcia (43', 72'), Candia (56' og.)
Bucca (9'), Corvalan (25')
Bucca (77')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Santa Fe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawSanta Fe
47.1%26.83%26.07%
Both teams to score 47.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.05%56.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14%77.86%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81%24.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.47%58.53%
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53%37.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75%74.26%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 47.1%
    Santa Fe 26.07%
    Draw 26.83%
Arsenal SarandiDrawSanta Fe
1-0 @ 12.86%
2-0 @ 9.13%
2-1 @ 8.96%
3-0 @ 4.32%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-1 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 47.1%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 9.07%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 8.9%
1-2 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 26.07%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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