Tucuman
3 - 1
Santa Fe

Heredia (50'), Toledo (51'), Alustiza (90+3')
Carrera (13'), Lucchetti (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Carabajal (60' pen.)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Atletico Tucuman and Santa Fe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.

Result
Atletico Tucuman	Draw	Santa Fe
41.07%	29.32%	29.62%

Both teams to score 42.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.28%

63.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.02%

82.98%

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45%

30.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.23%

66.77%

Santa Fe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.72%

38.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.97%

75.04%

Score Analysis

Atletico Tucuman 41.06%

Santa Fe 29.61%

Draw 29.31%

Atletico Tucuman	Draw	Santa Fe
1-0 @ 13.86% 2-0 @ 8.22% 2-1 @ 7.9% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 0.96% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.32% Total : 41.06%	1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.31%	0-1 @ 11.22% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.62% Total : 29.61%