Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Central Cordoba win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.