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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 16, 2021 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
0 - 0
Arsenal


Poblete (20'), Ortega (35'), Mulet (81')
FT

Mendez (29'), Papa (45+2'), Ruiz (71')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 13.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawArsenal Sarandi
65.27%20.82%13.91%
Both teams to score 46.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.22%48.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.12%70.88%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.84%14.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.15%41.85%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.67%46.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.02%81.98%
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 65.26%
    Arsenal Sarandi 13.91%
    Draw 20.82%
Velez SarsfieldDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 12.82%
2-0 @ 12.53%
2-1 @ 9.64%
3-0 @ 8.17%
3-1 @ 6.28%
4-0 @ 3.99%
4-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.42%
5-0 @ 1.56%
5-1 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 65.26%
1-1 @ 9.87%
0-0 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 3.71%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 20.82%
0-1 @ 5.05%
1-2 @ 3.8%
0-2 @ 1.94%
1-3 @ 0.97%
2-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 13.91%

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