Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 13.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.