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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 9, 2021 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa

Newell's OB
1 - 2
Velez Sarsfield

Garro (90+1')
Sforza (1'), Maccari (33'), Scocco (66'), Canale (90+3'), Aguerre (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martin Lucero (6'), Tarragona (82')
Guidara (24'), Poblete (65')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Newell's Old Boys and Velez Sarsfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 45.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 26.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawVelez Sarsfield
26.91%27.18%45.92%
Both teams to score 47.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.31%57.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.56%78.45%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84%37.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06%73.95%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91%25.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22%59.79%
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 26.91%
    Velez Sarsfield 45.92%
    Draw 27.18%
Newell's Old BoysDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 9.23%
2-1 @ 6.32%
2-0 @ 4.57%
3-1 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.51%
3-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 26.91%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 9.32%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 12.89%
0-2 @ 8.91%
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-3 @ 4.11%
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.42%
1-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 45.92%

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