Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Colon had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.29%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Colon win was 1-0 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.
