Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 50.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Colon had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
