Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 39.98%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Colon had a probability of 29.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.15%) and 1-2 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.4%), while for a Colon win it was 1-0 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.