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Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2020 at 10.20pm UK
Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López
I

Colon
1 - 2
Independiente

Fernandez (90+3')
Chancalay (15'), Piovi (18'), Miguel Rodriguez (70'), Bianchi (74'), Meza (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Menendez (75'), Velasco (89')
Bustos (65'), Gonzalez (80')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Colon and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 39.98%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Colon had a probability of 29.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.15%) and 1-2 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.4%), while for a Colon win it was 1-0 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
ColonDrawIndependiente
29.67%30.35%39.98%
Both teams to score 40.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.21%66.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.88%85.12%
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.03%39.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.37%76.63%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22%32.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66%69.34%
Score Analysis
    Colon 29.67%
    Independiente 39.98%
    Draw 30.34%
ColonDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 6.14%
2-0 @ 5.51%
3-1 @ 1.88%
3-0 @ 1.68%
3-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 29.67%
1-1 @ 13.4%
0-0 @ 13.1%
2-2 @ 3.43%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.34%
0-1 @ 14.61%
0-2 @ 8.15%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-3 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.98%


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