Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Colon had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Colon win was 1-0 (11.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.