Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.08%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Platense had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.