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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 23, 2021 at 10pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello
P

Defensa
2 - 1
Platense

Merentiel (54'), Loaiza (81')
Loaiza (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tissera (62')
Iribarren (39')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Platense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.08%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Platense had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawPlatense
50.08%27.01%22.92%
Both teams to score 44.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.26%59.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.96%80.04%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97%24.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71%58.29%
Platense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.06%41.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.62%78.39%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 50.07%
    Platense 22.92%
    Draw 26.99%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawPlatense
1-0 @ 14.37%
2-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 8.9%
3-0 @ 4.87%
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 50.07%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 10.07%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 8.76%
1-2 @ 5.43%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.12%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 22.92%

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