Defensa
2 - 1
Estudiantes

Merentiel (22'), Bou (71')
Colombo (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Del Prete (51')
Tobio (61')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Estudiantes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Estudiantes
37.84%	27.18%	34.98%

Both teams to score 50.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.87%

55.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.62%

76.38%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79%

28.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.09%

63.91%

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.05%

29.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.94%

66.06%

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 37.84%

Estudiantes 34.97%

Draw 27.17%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.87% Total : 37.84%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 6.14% 1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.37% Total : 34.97%