Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Platense had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest Platense win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
