San Lorenzo
2 - 1
Defensa

Fernandez (23'), Rosane (45+1')
Peruzzi (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pizzini (57')
Rotondi (30')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between San Lorenzo and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
38.82%	29.03%	32.15%

Both teams to score 44.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.8%

62.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.11%

81.88%

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.89%

31.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57%

67.43%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.47%

35.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.71%

72.29%

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 38.82%

Defensa y Justicia 32.14%

Draw 29.02%

San Lorenzo	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 12.9% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.05% Total : 38.82%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.02%	0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.06% Total : 32.14%