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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Feb 15, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Único

Estudiantes
2 - 1
River Plate

Diaz (78'), Noguera (90+6')
Noguera (72')
Tobio (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Suarez (62')
Perez (19'), Angileri (50'), Zuculini (60'), Ponzio (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Estudiantes and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 61.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 16.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.76%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
EstudiantesDrawRiver Plate
16.5%22.44%61.06%
Both teams to score 47.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42%50.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5%72.5%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.19%43.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.03%79.97%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.88%16.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.46%45.54%
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 16.5%
    River Plate 61.05%
    Draw 22.44%
EstudiantesDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 5.83%
2-1 @ 4.39%
2-0 @ 2.41%
3-1 @ 1.21%
3-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 16.5%
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 7.06%
2-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 22.44%
0-1 @ 12.88%
0-2 @ 11.76%
1-2 @ 9.71%
0-3 @ 7.16%
1-3 @ 5.91%
0-4 @ 3.27%
1-4 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-5 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 1.11%
1-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 61.05%

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