Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
