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Copa Diego Maradona | Fase Campeon
Jan 3, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alberto Jacinto Armando

Boca Juniors
2 - 2
River Plate

Abila (10'), Villa (86')
Buffarini (13'), Campuzano (29'), Tevez (90+3'), Villa (90+4')
Campuzano (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Girotti (74'), Borre (77')
Carrascal (45+2'), Perez (62'), Montiel (75')
Perez (80')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Fase Campeon clash between Boca Juniors and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
29.41%25.05%45.54%
Both teams to score 55.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52%47.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.84%70.16%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9%30.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76%66.24%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89%21.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.06%53.93%
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 29.41%
    River Plate 45.54%
    Draw 25.05%
Boca JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 7.63%
2-1 @ 7.12%
2-0 @ 4.58%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 29.41%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.35%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 9.88%
1-2 @ 9.23%
0-2 @ 7.69%
1-3 @ 4.79%
0-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 2.87%
1-4 @ 1.86%
0-4 @ 1.55%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.54%

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