Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
