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Copa Diego Maradona | Fase Campeon
Dec 28, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de América

River Plate
2 - 1
Arsenal

Fernandez (56'), Suarez (67')
Zuculini (44'), Pinola (58'), De La Cruz (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Candia (84')
Carabajal (24'), Mendez (65'), Picco (79')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Fase Campeon clash between River Plate and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 15.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawArsenal Sarandi
64.33%20.42%15.25%
Both teams to score 50.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.61%44.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.24%66.76%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93%13.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.34%39.66%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.28%41.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.81%78.19%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 64.33%
    Arsenal Sarandi 15.25%
    Draw 20.42%
River PlateDrawArsenal Sarandi
2-0 @ 11.29%
1-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 6.7%
4-0 @ 3.9%
4-1 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.93%
5-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 64.33%
1-1 @ 9.7%
0-0 @ 5.45%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.42%
0-1 @ 4.77%
1-2 @ 4.24%
0-2 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.26%
1-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 15.25%

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