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Copa Diego Maradona | Fase Campeon
Jan 11, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
AT

Gimnasia
0 - 1
Tucuman


Aleman (53'), Broun (62'), Garcia (64'), Mancilla (70'), Melluso (86'), Weigandt (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ortiz (62')
Carrera (37'), Mussis (46'), Erbes (75')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Fase Campeon clash between Gimnasia and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawAtletico Tucuman
42.74%29.06%28.2%
Both teams to score 42.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.62%63.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.26%82.74%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57%29.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57%65.42%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.76%39.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.05%75.94%
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 42.74%
    Atletico Tucuman 28.2%
    Draw 29.05%
GimnasiaDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 14.12%
2-0 @ 8.64%
2-1 @ 8.08%
3-0 @ 3.52%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.08%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 42.74%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 11.54%
2-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.05%
0-1 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 5.05%
1-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 28.2%

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