Gimnasia
2 - 2
Velez Sarsfield

Garcia (55' pen.), Carbonero (68')
Mancilla (71'), Paradela (78'), Ayala (85'), Melluso (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Almada (5'), Orellano (90+1')
Mancuello (41'), Gianetti (44'), Guidara (87')
Gianetti (54')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Gimnasia and Velez Sarsfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.64%) and 1-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
31.51%	30.23%	38.25%

Both teams to score 41.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.91%

66.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.35%

84.64%

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.86%

38.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.1%

74.9%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.52%

33.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.89%

70.11%

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 31.51%

Velez Sarsfield 38.25%

Draw 30.22%

Gimnasia	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 6.49% 2-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.65% Total : 31.51%	1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.76% 2-2 @ 3.55% Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.22%	0-1 @ 13.97% 0-2 @ 7.64% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-3 @ 2.79% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.25%