Penarol
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Rodriguez (90+6' pen.)
Torres (78'), Rodriguez (89'), Formiliano (90+2'), (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Almada (90+3' pen.)
(6'), Galdames (62'), Centurion (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Penarol and Velez Sarsfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Penarol win was 1-0 (11.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
34.08%	29.24%	36.68%

Both teams to score 44.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.33%

62.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.78%

82.22%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.59%

34.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.88%

71.12%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.32%

32.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.77%

69.23%

Score Analysis

Penarol 34.07%

Velez Sarsfield 36.68%

Draw 29.23%

Penarol	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.99% 2-1 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.07%	1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.23%	0-1 @ 12.57% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 7.03% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.68%