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Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Oct 29, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio José Amalfitani
P

Velez Sarsfield
0 - 0
Penarol


Galdames (44'), Abram (65'), Centurion (74')
FT

Terans (29'), Formiliano (45+1'), Piquerez (70'), Britos (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Velez Sarsfield and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 48.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawPenarol
48.48%27.63%23.88%
Both teams to score 43.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.92%61.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.94%81.05%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62%25.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83%60.17%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.22%41.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.76%78.24%
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 48.48%
    Penarol 23.88%
    Draw 27.61%
Velez SarsfieldDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 14.53%
2-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 8.7%
3-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 48.48%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.18%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 23.88%


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