Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
