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Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2020 at 10.20pm UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando

Boca Juniors
2 - 0
Newell's OB

Cardona (12', 20')
Villa (36'), Izquierdoz (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gabrielli (21'), Fernandez (29'), Moreno (72')
Gabrielli (40')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Boca Juniors and Newell's Old Boys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawNewell's Old Boys
55.2%26.02%18.78%
Both teams to score 41.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.66%60.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.5%80.5%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96%22.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.64%55.36%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.22%46.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.68%82.32%
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 55.2%
    Newell's Old Boys 18.78%
    Draw 26.01%
Boca JuniorsDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 15.59%
2-0 @ 11.79%
2-1 @ 8.96%
3-0 @ 5.94%
3-1 @ 4.52%
4-0 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 55.2%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 3.4%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 7.83%
1-2 @ 4.5%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 18.78%


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