Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
