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Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2020 at 7.15pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Lanus
2 - 4
Newell's OB

Sand (73', 90+4')
B (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fontanini (24'), Palacios (55'), Gentiletti (68'), Rodriguez (74')
Bittolo (17'), Nadalin (25')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Lanus and Newell's Old Boys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawNewell's Old Boys
42.95%27.93%29.11%
Both teams to score 46.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.67%59.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.28%79.72%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64%27.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18%62.82%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73%36.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95%73.05%
Score Analysis
    Lanus 42.95%
    Newell's Old Boys 29.11%
    Draw 27.93%
LanusDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 12.85%
2-1 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 8.33%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 42.95%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 10.06%
1-2 @ 6.62%
0-2 @ 5.1%
1-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 29.11%


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