Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 40%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 28.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.34%) and 1-2 (7.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.64%), while for a Patronato win it was 1-0 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.