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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Sep 26, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
P

Union
2 - 0
Patronato

Luna Diale (47', 68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vazquez (37'), Geminiani (84')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Union and Patronato.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 35.5%. A win for Union had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.98%) and 1-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (13.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
UnionDrawPatronato
33.85%30.64%35.5%
Both teams to score 40.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.94%67.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.69%85.31%
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.04%36.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.25%73.74%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.19%35.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.41%72.58%
Score Analysis
    Union 33.85%
    Patronato 35.5%
    Draw 30.63%
UnionDrawPatronato
1-0 @ 13.17%
2-1 @ 6.73%
2-0 @ 6.56%
3-1 @ 2.23%
3-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 33.85%
1-1 @ 13.52%
0-0 @ 13.23%
2-2 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.63%
0-1 @ 13.59%
0-2 @ 6.98%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-3 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 35.5%

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