Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41.25%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Patronato win it was 1-0 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.