Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.38%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
