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Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Nov 8, 2020 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 1
Rosario

De La Cruz (22'), Pratto (77')
Diaz (54'), De La Cruz (73'), Carrascal (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vecchio (90+5' pen.)
Villagra (48'), Ojeda (68')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between River Plate and Rosario Central.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 10.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.28%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawRosario Central
70.17%18.97%10.86%
Both teams to score 42.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.85%48.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69%70.31%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48%12.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.46%38.54%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.93%51.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.61%85.39%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 70.16%
    Rosario Central 10.86%
    Draw 18.97%
River PlateDrawRosario Central
2-0 @ 13.8%
1-0 @ 13.28%
3-0 @ 9.56%
2-1 @ 9.28%
3-1 @ 6.42%
4-0 @ 4.97%
4-1 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.16%
5-0 @ 2.06%
5-1 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 70.16%
1-1 @ 8.93%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 3.12%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 18.97%
0-1 @ 4.3%
1-2 @ 3%
0-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 10.86%


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