Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 10.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.28%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.