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Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre

Rosario
0 - 2
River Plate


Blanco (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rojas (10'), Martinez (56' og.)
Alvarez (24'), Zuculini (60')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Rosario Central and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawRiver Plate
20.38%23.34%56.28%
Both teams to score 51.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34%48.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.23%70.77%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81%38.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04%74.95%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9%17.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7%47.29%
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 20.38%
    River Plate 56.27%
    Draw 23.34%
Rosario CentralDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 6.28%
2-1 @ 5.34%
2-0 @ 3.03%
3-1 @ 1.71%
3-2 @ 1.51%
3-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 20.38%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.34%
0-1 @ 11.53%
0-2 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-3 @ 6%
1-3 @ 5.77%
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-4 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 2.55%
2-4 @ 1.23%
0-5 @ 0.94%
1-5 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 56.27%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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