Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.