Rosario
1 - 3
Velez Sarsfield

Marinelli (26')
Bottinelli (43')
Bottinelli (78'), Martinez (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Centurion (9' pen.), Almada (82' pen.), Monzon (90+2')
Amor (37'), Martin Lucero (78')
Galdames (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Plate Final clash between Rosario Central and Velez Sarsfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Rosario Central	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
38.31%	27.62%	34.07%

Both teams to score 48.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.08%

56.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.17%

77.83%

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2%

28.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.35%

64.65%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57%

31.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19%

67.81%

Score Analysis

Rosario Central 38.31%

Velez Sarsfield 34.06%

Draw 27.62%

Rosario Central	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.73% Total : 38.31%	1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.05% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.62%	0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.06%