Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.