Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
